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Russia: Planned Naval Base Near Port Sudan on Hold

Russian Influence

Russia: Planned Naval Base Near Port Sudan on Hold

This snapshot analyzes the impact of the May 2025 drone attack by the Rapid Support Forces on infrastructure in the vicinity of Russia's planned naval base. We assess that Russia is unlikely to realize their plans for a naval base near Port Sudan in the next 6 to 12 months due to the continued instability in the region.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Expansion of Chinese-Owned Cobalt and Copper Mines in the Lualaba Province

China's Economy

Democratic Republic of Congo: Expansion of Chinese-Owned Cobalt and Copper Mines in the Lualaba Province

Chinese companies control 72% of the cobalt and copper mines in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), a country that produces over 70% of the world's cobalt and approximately 10% of its copper, according to Canadian estimates and foreign relations research councils. [1, 2, 3]

Quantifying Increases in Maritime Activity in Information-Denied Environments Using Open-Source SAR Data

Methodologies

Quantifying Increases in Maritime Activity in Information-Denied Environments Using Open-Source SAR Data

The application of a basic geographic information system (GIS) workflow and cloud-based processing of publicly available Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images, within a Google Earth Engine environment, demonstrates the ability to track large maritime vessel activity patterns on the Taedong River proximal to Nampo Port in Nampo, Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) with a high degree of accuracy. This maritime vessel activity was observed over a period of 10 years (2015-2025). The automated methodology utilized to analyze this activity has no statistically significant bias (95% CI -0.22 – 0.45) with a mean absolute error of 0.81 ships per image across the entire area of interest.

Analysis identified multiple temporal points of interest where there were significant changes in maritime activity, providing quantitative context for further in-depth qualitative research. The automated methodology described can be replicated on other ports or narrow maritime areas of interest to generate contextual quantitative data on large vessel movements and activity over long time periods.

Environmental and Human Security Risks of China's Petrochemical Industry

China's Economy

Environmental and Human Security Risks of China's Petrochemical Industry

China's rapid expansion in the petrochemical industry is likely to present significant environmental and human security challenges over the next decade. This study investigates the risks associated with China's petrochemical industry and highlights policies targeting risk management and prevention. Using synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery from NGA's Unclassified Data Lake, we look at a case study on the Yangpu Economic Development Zone (EDZ) in Hainan, China's largest island.

Russia's Arctic LNG Infrastructure: Development and Operational Analysis

Arctic

Russia's Arctic LNG Infrastructure: Development and Operational Analysis

The Arctic plays a pivotal role in Russia's liquified natural gas (LNG) ambitions, leveraging its vast natural gas reserves and strategic geographic advantages. In 2022, LNG accounted for approximately 52% of Russia's energy portfolio, and despite global sanctions, production is projected to grow by 11% annually through 2035. With gas exports dropping by 55% since 2021, Russia has shifted focus to LNG via the Northern Sea Route that connects the Arctic Ocean to the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans.

Wings of Violence: Locating the Source and Method of Aerial Attacks on Civilians and Civil Infrastructure in North-Central Myanmar

Human Rights

Wings of Violence: Locating the Source and Method of Aerial Attacks on Civilians and Civil Infrastructure in North-Central Myanmar

Myanmar has been embroiled in violence since the military staged a coup d'état overthrowing the government in 2021. The country's air force has waged deliberate campaigns targeting rebel groups and civilians alike throughout the country, striking hospitals, schools, and religious buildings. In the years preceding civil war, the Myanmar Air Force (MAF) improved its aerial strike capabilities by upgrading infrastructure and procuring additional offensive aircraft, according to regional media.[1]

Syria: Assessing Foreign Involvement in the Electrical Grid

Russian Influence

Syria: Assessing Foreign Involvement in the Electrical Grid

This study analyzes the impact of the Syrian Civil War and the fall of the Assad government on Syria's energy infrastructure and foreign investment in the energy sector. Using satellite imagery and open-source intelligence, this report finds with moderate confidence that Iran's role in the energy sector has decreased; that alternate regional powers have explored investment opportunities with limited progress; and that electricity availability in major cities has seen no observable improvement.

Russia-China Land Infrastructure: Changes to Cross-Border Road and Rail Infrastructure Between 2020 and 2024

Central Asia

Russia-China Land Infrastructure: Changes to Cross-Border Road and Rail Infrastructure Between 2020 and 2024

Latest: In accordance with planned infrastructure construction and improvement, both China and Russia increased land transportation capabilities across all border crossings, creating a net positive change in road and rail capacity.

Russia's Civil Aviation Industry: Impact of COVID-19 and Ukraine Conflict-Related Sanctions Following February 24th, 2022

Russian Influence

Russia's Civil Aviation Industry: Impact of COVID-19 and Ukraine Conflict-Related Sanctions Following February 24th, 2022

This product demonstrates increased activity in Russia's civil aviation industry since 2017, despite the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and ongoing international sanctions implemented following Russia's 2022 escalation of armed conflict in Ukraine. The author's analysis provide imagery-driven insight into the impact of those sanctions and the global pandemic by assessing the development patterns of Russian airports from 2017 to present day (2024).

Mt. Kumgang Tourist Area: A Slow Shedding of South Korean Influence

North Korea's Economy

Mt. Kumgang Tourist Area: A Slow Shedding of South Korean Influence

The Mt. Kumgang Tourist Region was a popular South Korean tourist destination until a security incident led to its closure in 2008. Despite optimism after the 2018 Panmunjom Summit that long-stalled inter-Korean economic projects would resume, no progress was made before the summit process fell apart. In late 2019, Kim Jong Un visited Mt. Kumgang, denouncing South Korean claims on the resort and instructing it be rebuilt according to North Korean standards and tastes.